Deaths Now Outnumber Births In 17 US States
Natural population growth is slowing across much of America.
According to the latest U.S. Census Bureau estimates, 17 states recorded more deaths than births between July 2024 and July 2025, up from only four states during much of the 2010s.
Using U.S. Census Bureau data, Visual Capitalist's Dorothy Neufeld created this map showing natural population change in every state.
Because the measure excludes domestic and international migration, it highlights where population growth increasingly depends on people moving in.
Natural Population Change by State
The table below ranks every state by natural population change between July 2024 and July 2025, highlighting where births continued to outpace deaths—and where they no longer did.
State
Natural Population Change
Jul 2024–Jul 2025
Pennsylvania
-10,708
West Virginia
-7,887
Maine
-5,019
Michigan
-4,998
Oregon
-3,764
Mississippi
-2,607
Alabama
-2,188
New Hampshire
-2,167
New Mexico
-1,885
Vermont
-1,769
Florida
-1,333
Arkansas
-1,224
Ohio
-729
Delaware
-554
Rhode Island
-304
Montana
-90
Kentucky
-83
Missouri
177
Wyoming
295
South Carolina
564
Wisconsin
1,161
Hawaii
2,024
Connecticut
2,283
District of Columbia
2,516
Oklahoma
2,559
South Dakota
2,605
North Dakota
2,630
Louisiana
2,774
Iowa
2,949
Nevada
3,051
Alaska
3,308
Tennessee
3,597
Kansas
4,951
Nebraska
6,136
Idaho
6,900
Massachusetts
8,419
Indiana
8,561
Illinois
10,903
Maryland
11,444
Minnesota
12,071
Virginia
13,817
North Carolina
15,129
Washington
17,230
Colorado
20,608
Utah
24,961
New Jersey
26,023
Georgia
28,631
Arizona
20,914
New York
42,815
California
109,715
Texas
157,711
Pennsylvania recorded the nation’s largest natural decline (-10.7K), followed by West Virginia, Maine, and Michigan. Most states with natural decreases were concentrated in the Northeast and Appalachia, regions that include several states with some of the country’s oldest populations.
Florida also recorded more deaths than births, yet remained one of America’s fastest-growing states because of migration.
The South remained the engine of natural population growth. ...
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